Screenshot of a social media link to a Youtube discussion between Roger Hallam and Bill McGuire titled " The Insurance Industry Predicts Mass Death: How Do We Live A Good Life?"

Fact-Check: have actuaries predicted that billions will die beyond 2 degrees?

Some campaigners are claiming that UK actuaries (who measure risk for insurers) have predicted billions of deaths due to climate change beyond 2C of warming, partly due to tipping points & feedbacks. However, this is based of misreading a key table from a report, with the numbers actually being only hypothetical.

Fact-Check: is more than 1.5°C of global warming already locked in?

Claim: The lag between CO₂ emissions and warming means ~0.7°C of warming is yet to come, and aerosols are masking … More

Fact-Check: will 2°C of global warming trigger rapid runaway feedbacks?

Claim: Once global warming reaches 2°C (which we’ve nearly reached already, but scientists are downplaying it), positive feedback loops and … More